
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is ranked #2 among 198 eligible NBA guards. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 6.0 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 30.6 minutes/game over that stretch vs 33.3 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2026-27 fantasy outlook
Market price (ADP 3.3) lines up with our rank (#4). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (30.6 minutes/gm late vs 33.3 season), steady per-minute production.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander consistency and floor
68 GAMESGilgeous-Alexander vs other guards
PERCENTILE · 199 RANKEDGilgeous-Alexander fantasy points, last 15 games
2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUSTShai Gilgeous-Alexander game log — 2025-26
■ BOOM · ■ BUSTMore on Gilgeous-Alexander and the G board
Yes. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks #4 overall and #2 among guards at 50.6 fantasy points per game. Core starter — #2 among guards.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should be selected within the first three picks — his ADP in ESPN drafts is 3.3 and we rank him #4.
We project 48.5 points per game across an expected 72 games — approximately 3492 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 42.5 and 58.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #4 in projected scoring.
Based on 2025-26 production, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished #3 in 9-cat and #3 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #4 in points formats.
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 94% of games, with a floor of 38.6 and a ceiling of 64.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 13% of games and busted (under half his average) in 0%.
Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.