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Luka Doncic vs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Comparison based on 2025-26 results · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · the verdict also weighs 2026-27 projections, availability and ADP

57.5Fantasy pts / game50.6
33.5Points31.1
7.7Rebounds4.3
8.3Assists6.6
35.8Minutes33.2
64Games played68
39.9Floor (p10)38.6
74.3Ceiling (p90)64.5
84Consistency %94
58.7Proj pts/game (2026-27)48.5
69Proj games (2026-27)72
4.9ADP (lower = pricier)3.3
#69-Cat rank (2025-26)#3
#48-Cat rank (2025-26)#3
POINTS PICKLuka Doncic

Luka Doncic holds the 2025-26 edge: 6.9 fantasy points per game, finishing #2 overall vs #4. The 2026-27 projection agrees: 58.7 vs 48.5 points per game. That said, Gilgeous-Alexander offered slightly better availability (68 games to 64) and greater consistency (94% vs 84%) in 2025-26. Luka Doncic remains the preferred points-league pick.

POINTS PICK Doncic9-CAT PICK Gilgeous-Alexander8-CAT PICK Gilgeous-AlexanderCategory rankings
Based on 2025-26 results plus 2026-27 projections and live ADP · Computed by HoopSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025-26BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Luka Doncic — fantasy points, last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -3.0
100500AVG 57.565.7MIN87.5CHI68.7DEN51.2@HOU63.8@HOU85.9@MIA62@ORL55.4@DET58.7@IND62.1BKN72CLE24.3@OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — fantasy points, last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -6.0
100500AVG 50.658@ORL41.6@BKN54.1@WSH39.5@PHI51.4@BOS42.9CHI38.6NY59.5DET45.9LAL35.3UTAH41.2@LAL40.7@LAC