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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III

RANK #432025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEF152025-26 9-CAT #148-CAT #23F · New Orleans PelicansAge 266' 8"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
21.5
Points / game
5.7
Rebounds
3.8
Assists
35.5
Minutes
47.0%
FG%
37.9
FPTS / game
+6.0
vs F median
TIER 5 · #43 OVERALLDepth piece — #15 among forwards

Trey Murphy III is ranked #15 among 149 eligible NBA forwards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 7.8 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (36/game vs 35.5 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile91%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Trey Murphy III 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY
37.1Proj FPTS/G · ~2634 / 71 games
31.542.9Typical game · middle 50%
#43Projected rank
71.4ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #43 versus an ADP of 71.4 — the market drafts him 16 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.5 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Trey Murphy III consistency and floor

66 GAMES
26.1
Floor (p10)
37.9
Average
51.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered85%
Boom rate125%+ of average17%
Bust rateunder half of average2%
37.8
Season avg FPTS
35.7
Last 10 FPTS
30.2
Last 5 FPTS

Murphy vs other forwards

PERCENTILE · 149 RANKED
Points21.593
Rebounds5.780
Assists3.891
Steals1.597
Blocks0.456
Minutes35.599
Fantasy PPG37.991
Percentile among all ranked NBA forwards · 99 = best

Murphy fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
60300AVG 37.931.8MIA25.9@LAC39.6@LAL43.4@SAC39.4@PHX39WSH46.9TOR27.7@HOU42.9DAL49.9LAC36LAC25.2CLE29.2@NY33.6@POR26.8@SAC
SEASON HIGH 65.2SEASON LOW 17.4LAST 5 AVG 30.1

Trey Murphy III game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 4@SACL 117-1133213440235-91-526.8
Apr 3@PORL 118-1063619821017-171-633.6
Mar 24@NYL 121-1163616621006-154-1229.2
Mar 21CLEL 111-1064110601213-102-825.2
Mar 20LACW 105-993527521039-175-1136
Mar 19LACW 124-1094023753117-174-1249.9
Mar 17DALW 129-1113317772127-152-942.9
Mar 14@HOUL 107-1053714670045-153-827.7
Mar 12TORW 122-1113428733038-125-846.9
Mar 8WSHW 138-1182924541007-144-939
Mar 7@PHXL 118-1164122242106-174-939.4
Mar 6@SACW 133-1233221742117-144-643.4
Mar 4@LALL 110-1013321842037-153-739.6
Mar 2@LACL 137-1173116232036-154-1025.9
Feb 12MIAL 123-1112719460017-152-831.8
Feb 10SACW 120-942921271008-155-1136.9
Feb 7@MINW 119-1153726650139-156-1040.7
Feb 5@MILL 141-137 OT40446630415-2812-1965.2
Feb 2@CHAL 102-9537271410210-203-835.2
Feb 1@PHIL 124-1143819920108-213-1135.8
Jan 31MEMW 114-106338122112-140-720.2
Jan 28@OKCL 104-953910553103-201-1135.5
Jan 26@SAW 104-953817690017-223-1136.7
Jan 24@MEMW 133-1273632333019-152-748.1
Jan 22DETL 112-1043517422156-192-928.8
Jan 19@HOUL 119-1103521341127-153-834.6
Jan 17@INDL 127-1193822451117-215-1439.3
Jan 15BKNW 116-11338349521012-225-1361.3
Jan 14DENL 122-11634315210411-184-839
Jan 11@ORLL 128-1183721760038-153-735.4
Jan 10@WSHW 128-10736358440113-247-1661.6
Jan 7LALL 111-10339425300014-266-1752.5
Jan 4@MIAL 125-10638278511210-197-1548.1
Jan 1@CHIL 134-1183415650146-153-1128.7
Dec 30NYL 130-1253821620028-165-1029.2
Dec 28PHXL 123-1143724611016-126-934.7
Dec 27PHXL 115-1083619334018-161-338.1
Dec 24@CLEL 141-1182614351026-122-526.1
Dec 23DALW 119-1133811544014-121-434
Dec 21INDW 128-1093317640025-82-528.2
Dec 19HOUW 133-128 OT3827321109-132-239.6
Dec 15@CHIW 114-10434201020018-142-634
Dec 12PORW 143-12031246430110-141-345.2
Dec 9SAL 135-13238323421113-212-649.6
Dec 6@BKNL 119-10135235520410-172-738.5
Dec 5MINL 125-1163421782027-170-545.4
Dec 3MINL 149-142 OT413315400111-214-856
Nov 27MEML 133-128 OT3812462035-122-628.8
Nov 25CHIW 143-1303620442017-164-1035.8
Nov 23ATLL 115-983119940046-164-1031.8
Nov 22@DALL 118-1153525303107-141-740.6
Nov 20DENL 125-1183623235137-145-1244.9
Nov 18OKCL 126-1093318513036-94-531.5
Nov 17GSL 124-1063120823056-132-636.6
Nov 15LALL 118-10439357010613-213-740.4
Nov 13PORL 125-1173922551018-183-1137.5
Nov 11@PHXL 121-9833211042066-142-739
Nov 9@SAL 126-11938419310115-225-1158.3
Nov 6@DALW 101-993811952133-121-635.3
Nov 5CHAW 116-1123721331117-165-1034.1
Nov 2@OKCL 137-1063219521007-135-1031
Nov 1@LACL 126-1243417562016-145-1037
Oct 30@DENL 122-88327701011-81-517.4
Oct 28BOSL 122-90347550003-110-420.5
Oct 25SAL 120-116 OT46241053019-183-851.5
Oct 23@MEML 128-1223213730015-151-624.9
QIs Trey Murphy III a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #43 overall, #15 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Trey Murphy III be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 71.4 (roughly round 8 in a 10-team league). We rank him #43, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Trey Murphy III score in 2026-27?

We project 37.1 points per game across an expected 71 games — approximately 2634 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 31.5 and 42.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #43 in projected scoring.

QHow does Trey Murphy III rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Trey Murphy III finished #14 in 9-cat and #23 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #43 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Trey Murphy III for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 85% of games, with a floor of 26.1 and a ceiling of 51.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 17% of games and busted (under half his average) in 2%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.