NBA / Rankings / Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson

RANK #1132025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG532025-26 9-CAT #109 8-CAT #104G · Denver NuggetsAge 236' 8"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

14.6

Points / game

4.9

Rebounds

2.1

Assists

29.6

Minutes

49.1%

FG%

27.9

FPTS / game

-3.6

vs G median

TIER 6 · #113 OVERALLDepth piece — #53 among guards

Peyton Watson is ranked #53 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 5.7 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 19 minutes/game over that stretch vs 29.6 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile74%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Peyton Watson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

27.7Proj FPTS/G · ~1717 / 62 games

21.5–34Typical game · middle 50%

#113Projected rank

138.9ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #113 versus an ADP of 138.9 — the market drafts him 126 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (19 minutes/gm late vs 29.6 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Peyton Watson consistency and floor

54 GAMES

8.6

Floor (p10)

27.9

Average

42.5

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered78%

Boom rate125%+ of average22%

Bust rateunder half of average15%

28.0

Season avg FPTS

27.2

Last 10 FPTS

22.3

Last 5 FPTS

Watson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points14.675

Rebounds4.991

Assists2.139

Steals0.964

Blocks1.199

Minutes29.676

Fantasy PPG27.974

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Watson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 66.1SEASON LOW 4.9LAST 5 AVG 22.2

Peyton Watson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 2	@UTAH	W 130-117	9	6	3	0	0	0	1	3-5	0-2	8.6
Mar 30	GS	W 116-93	22	10	6	5	0	1	2	3-11	2-5	25.7
Mar 28	UTAH	W 135-129	21	7	5	4	0	2	4	2-10	1-2	21
Mar 26	DAL	W 142-135	23	21	4	3	0	0	0	7-10	2-3	30.3
Mar 22	POR	W 128-112	20	14	6	3	0	0	0	6-13	1-5	25.7
Feb 5	@NY	L 134-127 2OT	33	10	5	2	1	1	1	4-13	1-6	24
Feb 4	@DET	L 124-121	38	17	3	2	2	3	3	4-11	0-1	35.6
Feb 2	OKC	L 121-111	37	29	5	3	1	1	4	11-17	5-7	41.5
Jan 31	LAC	W 122-109	35	21	4	3	0	0	3	9-17	2-5	27.3
Jan 30	BKN	W 107-103	34	19	2	3	0	2	0	7-15	2-3	31.9
Jan 28	DET	L 109-107	37	13	3	3	0	3	3	6-20	1-6	27.1
Jan 23	@WSH	W 107-97	40	35	8	3	2	4	1	10-16	6-8	66.1
Jan 21	LAL	L 115-107	38	18	5	3	3	1	3	7-17	4-8	37.5
Jan 19	CHA	L 110-87	29	11	4	0	1	3	2	4-12	0-4	25.8
Jan 18	WSH	W 121-115	35	21	5	2	1	1	2	8-14	1-2	34
Jan 15	@DAL	W 118-109	31	18	5	2	0	0	2	6-12	2-5	25
Jan 14	@NO	W 122-116	39	31	7	5	2	1	2	11-16	1-4	53.9
Jan 12	MIL	W 108-104	39	19	8	6	0	2	3	7-19	4-6	40.6
Jan 10	ATL	L 110-87	34	25	11	4	3	1	5	9-19	2-4	51.2
Jan 8	@BOS	W 114-110	37	30	6	2	1	2	4	10-15	6-7	45.2
Jan 6	@PHI	W 125-124 OT	44	24	7	4	1	2	6	7-13	2-3	41.4
Jan 4	@BKN	L 127-115	29	23	4	2	0	1	1	8-14	1-4	32.8
Jan 3	@CLE	L 113-108	40	21	4	3	1	0	2	9-22	2-9	31.3
Jan 1	@TOR	W 106-103	36	24	8	0	2	0	1	9-19	1-6	38.6
Dec 30	@MIA	L 147-123	32	11	2	1	1	1	1	4-10	0-2	19.9
Dec 28	@ORL	L 127-126	35	15	5	0	2	0	1	6-9	1-3	26
Dec 26	MIN	W 142-138 OT	42	9	4	0	3	0	2	3-5	1-2	20.8
Dec 24	@DAL	L 131-130	24	4	2	1	0	0	3	0-3	0-2	4.9
Dec 23	UTAH	W 135-112	28	20	3	2	1	1	0	7-9	3-4	32.6
Dec 16	HOU	W 128-125 OT	6	5	0	0	1	0	0	2-4	1-2	8
Dec 12	@SAC	W 136-105	23	21	2	1	0	0	2	7-10	2-3	22.9
Dec 7	@CHA	W 115-106	30	10	8	1	0	1	4	4-9	1-2	20.1
Dec 6	@ATL	W 134-133	28	9	6	2	1	2	0	4-11	1-4	28.2
Dec 4	@IND	W 135-120	36	11	7	0	1	3	0	3-8	1-3	31.4
Dec 2	DAL	L 131-121	35	15	5	3	0	3	0	7-14	1-4	34.5
Nov 30	@PHX	W 130-112	28	11	5	3	0	0	0	3-4	1-1	21.5
Nov 29	SA	L 139-136	34	15	6	3	1	1	1	5-11	1-5	31.7
Nov 25	@MEM	W 125-115	33	27	5	3	1	1	1	11-22	5-12	42.5
Nov 23	SAC	L 128-123	34	15	7	1	0	0	3	6-10	3-5	21.9
Nov 22	@HOU	W 112-109	34	9	10	3	1	1	3	3-5	0-0	28.5
Nov 20	@NO	W 125-118	34	32	12	3	1	0	4	13-19	5-9	49.9
Nov 18	CHI	L 130-127	34	5	3	1	1	3	1	2-4	1-1	21.1
Nov 16	@MIN	W 123-112	34	12	3	0	2	1	1	5-11	0-1	23.6
Nov 13	@LAC	W 130-116	22	2	2	1	0	1	0	1-4	0-3	8.9
Nov 12	@SAC	W 122-108	18	0	3	0	1	1	1	0-3	0-1	8.6
Nov 9	IND	W 117-100	27	16	7	1	3	0	1	7-13	1-4	33.9
Nov 8	GS	W 129-104	24	10	3	1	2	1	0	3-6	1-1	24.1
Nov 6	MIA	W 122-112	18	2	10	3	0	2	2	0-4	0-1	22.5
Nov 4	SAC	W 130-124	16	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-4	0-3	5.7
Nov 1	@POR	L 109-107	23	10	4	1	2	1	2	3-7	0-2	23.3
Oct 30	NO	W 122-88	23	5	5	5	1	3	0	2-2	0-0	30.5
Oct 28	@MIN	W 127-114	25	12	2	1	1	2	1	4-6	2-2	23.9
Oct 26	PHX	W 133-111	20	7	2	1	1	0	2	3-4	0-0	11.9
Oct 24	@GS	L 137-131 OT	16	2	2	1	0	1	2	0-0	0-0	6.9

More on Watson and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Watson player props

QIs Peyton Watson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #113 overall, #53 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Peyton Watson be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 138.9 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #113, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Peyton Watson score in 2026-27?

We project 27.7 points per game across an expected 62 games — approximately 1717 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 21.5 and 34 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #113 in projected scoring.

QHow does Peyton Watson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Peyton Watson finished #109 in 9-cat and #104 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #113 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Peyton Watson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 78% of games, with a floor of 8.6 and a ceiling of 42.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 22% of games and busted (under half his average) in 15%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.