NBA / Rankings / Pelle Larsson

Pelle Larsson

RANK #1842025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG832025-26 9-CAT #215 8-CAT #203G · Miami HeatAge 256' 5"2025-26 season

11.4

Points / game

3.5

Rebounds

3.4

Assists

26.4

Minutes

49.6%

FG%

22.0

FPTS / game

-9.5

vs G median

TIER 6 · #184 OVERALLDepth piece — #83 among guards

Pelle Larsson is ranked #83 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.1 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (26.2/game vs 26.4 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile59%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Pelle Larsson 2026-27 fantasy outlook

23.1Proj FPTS/G · ~1709 / 74 games

13.6–28.4Typical game · middle 50%

#172Projected rank

—ADP (ESPN drafts)

No live market price for him yet — we rank him #172. Projection drivers: stable workload (26.4 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Pelle Larsson consistency and floor

71 GAMES

8.6

Floor (p10)

22.0

Average

34.9

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered70%

Boom rate125%+ of average34%

Bust rateunder half of average17%

21.9

Season avg FPTS

25.2

Last 10 FPTS

20.9

Last 5 FPTS

Larsson vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points11.458

Rebounds3.569

Assists3.466

Steals0.745

Blocks0.254

Minutes26.463

Fantasy PPG22.059

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Larsson fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 49.4SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 20.9

Pelle Larsson game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 14	@CHA	L 127-126 OT	22	6	3	3	1	0	2	2-4	0-1	15.1
Apr 10	@WSH	W 140-117	27	24	0	6	1	0	3	8-14	1-3	33
Apr 9	@TOR	L 128-114	32	10	4	2	0	0	1	4-10	2-5	16.8
Apr 7	@TOR	L 121-95	26	7	3	1	0	0	3	2-9	1-4	9.1
Apr 4	WSH	W 152-136	24	16	7	4	0	1	3	6-10	0-2	30.4
Apr 1	BOS	L 147-129	38	18	3	6	3	0	1	7-13	2-4	38.6
Mar 30	PHI	W 119-109	36	20	10	3	1	0	0	8-13	0-4	39.5
Mar 29	@IND	L 135-118	36	15	5	3	0	0	1	7-11	0-1	24.5
Mar 27	@CLE	L 149-128	26	10	3	5	1	0	3	2-4	0-2	21.1
Mar 25	@CLE	W 120-103	34	14	5	2	1	1	5	3-5	1-2	24
Mar 23	SA	L 136-111	23	7	1	3	2	0	2	2-6	0-1	16.7
Mar 22	@HOU	L 123-122	31	19	5	3	0	0	2	7-12	2-3	27.5
Mar 20	LAL	L 134-126	33	11	2	5	0	0	4	3-8	0-2	16.9
Mar 17	@CHA	L 136-106	28	14	2	0	0	0	4	3-7	1-2	12.4
Mar 15	ORL	L 121-117	35	15	3	3	2	0	1	4-7	2-3	28.1
Mar 12	MIL	W 112-105	38	28	6	6	1	0	1	9-14	2-3	46.2
Mar 10	WSH	W 150-129	24	10	2	1	2	1	1	3-7	0-3	21.9
Mar 8	DET	W 121-110	33	10	5	5	0	0	1	3-10	1-3	22.5
Mar 7	@CHA	W 128-120	29	11	4	2	0	0	2	3-8	0-1	16.8
Mar 6	BKN	W 126-110	30	16	1	4	0	0	1	6-13	2-2	22.2
Mar 4	BKN	W 124-98	18	3	2	3	0	1	0	1-5	0-2	12.9
Feb 28	HOU	W 115-105	35	20	4	4	0	0	3	6-12	1-5	27.8
Feb 27	@PHI	L 124-117	33	9	4	6	2	1	2	3-6	2-2	29.8
Feb 25	@MIL	L 128-117	36	10	6	5	0	0	2	3-6	0-3	22.7
Feb 22	MEM	W 136-120	35	10	1	5	2	1	4	3-7	0-4	23.7
Feb 21	@ATL	W 128-97	32	12	6	1	2	0	1	6-9	0-0	25.7
Feb 7	@BOS	L 98-96	12	0	5	3	0	0	2	0-0	0-0	8.5
Feb 4	ATL	L 127-115	36	18	4	5	0	0	3	7-12	0-3	27.3
Feb 1	CHI	W 134-91	24	20	4	4	1	1	2	8-11	3-4	34.8
Feb 1	CHI	L 125-118	33	22	7	4	5	0	2	7-11	2-5	49.4
Jan 30	@CHI	W 116-113	29	15	6	3	2	0	1	4-8	1-2	31.7
Jan 29	ORL	L 133-124	28	8	9	2	1	0	1	3-7	0-0	23.8
Jan 26	@PHX	W 111-102	35	10	7	2	0	0	3	4-9	0-0	18.4
Jan 25	@UTAH	W 147-116	25	20	2	3	0	1	2	7-11	3-6	27.9
Jan 23	@POR	L 127-110	29	6	3	6	0	0	1	3-5	0-2	17.6
Jan 21	@SAC	W 130-117	26	16	6	9	1	0	0	7-9	0-1	39.7
Jan 20	@GS	L 135-112	28	9	5	3	0	0	0	3-7	0-1	19.5
Jan 18	OKC	W 122-120	30	16	3	2	1	0	1	7-15	0-3	24.6
Jan 16	BOS	L 119-114	30	7	3	2	0	0	0	2-6	0-3	13.6
Jan 14	PHX	W 127-121	27	2	3	2	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	8.6
Jan 12	@OKC	L 124-112	28	16	3	3	1	1	2	6-11	1-4	28.1
Jan 11	@IND	L 123-99	16	4	3	0	0	1	1	0-1	0-1	9.6
Jan 7	@MIN	L 122-94	20	7	2	1	0	0	2	3-9	1-4	8.9
Jan 4	NO	W 125-106	26	16	3	6	3	0	2	7-15	1-5	35.6
Dec 30	DEN	W 147-123	15	3	2	0	0	0	0	1-5	1-3	5.4
Dec 28	IND	W 142-116	27	16	4	7	0	1	0	5-7	1-1	34.3
Dec 27	@ATL	W 126-111	30	21	6	5	1	0	0	9-13	3-4	38.7
Dec 9	@ORL	L 117-108	11	2	2	1	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	4.9
Dec 6	@ORL	L 106-105	19	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-4	0-1	2.7
Dec 4	@DAL	L 118-108	23	4	0	3	0	0	0	1-5	0-4	8.5
Dec 2	LAC	W 140-123	8	5	1	2	0	0	0	1-1	1-1	9.2
Nov 30	DET	L 138-135	25	7	1	2	1	0	0	2-6	1-1	14.2
Nov 27	MIL	W 106-103	21	8	3	3	1	1	2	3-10	2-7	20.1
Nov 25	DAL	W 106-102	28	9	2	6	1	2	1	4-10	1-3	28.4
Nov 23	@PHI	W 127-117	32	6	7	8	1	0	2	2-13	0-6	27.4
Nov 22	@CHI	W 143-107	26	16	2	7	2	0	0	4-5	2-3	34.9
Nov 20	GS	W 110-96	28	10	3	4	1	0	2	3-11	1-4	20.6
Nov 18	NY	W 115-113	26	13	7	4	0	0	2	4-9	2-4	25.4
Nov 15	@NY	L 140-132	24	14	2	2	0	1	2	4-8	3-6	20.4
Nov 13	CLE	L 130-116	27	9	0	4	0	1	3	3-7	2-3	15
Nov 11	CLE	W 140-138 OT	26	10	5	4	0	0	3	4-8	0-2	19
Nov 9	POR	W 136-131	27	16	1	5	0	0	1	7-10	1-3	23.7
Nov 8	CHA	W 126-108	27	19	4	2	1	0	0	8-11	1-3	29.8
Nov 6	@DEN	L 122-112	24	6	3	3	0	0	1	1-4	0-3	13.1
Nov 4	@LAC	W 120-119	24	7	1	3	3	0	1	2-4	1-2	20.7
Nov 3	@LAL	L 130-120	26	17	5	6	0	0	1	6-10	1-4	31
Oct 31	@SA	L 107-101	26	5	3	3	0	0	1	2-5	1-3	12.1
Oct 28	CHA	W 144-117	31	17	5	3	1	0	0	6-10	3-6	30.5
Oct 26	NY	W 115-107	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	1
Oct 25	@MEM	W 146-114	8	8	2	0	1	0	2	3-5	2-3	11.4
Oct 22	@ORL	L 125-121	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0

More on Larsson and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections

QIs Pelle Larsson a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #184 overall, #83 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Pelle Larsson be drafted in?

Late rounds or waivers — he finished #184, so treat him as a flier.

QHow many fantasy points will Pelle Larsson score in 2026-27?

We project 23.1 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 1709 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 13.6 and 28.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #172 in projected scoring.

QHow does Pelle Larsson rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Pelle Larsson finished #215 in 9-cat and #203 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #184 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Pelle Larsson for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 70% of games, with a floor of 8.6 and a ceiling of 34.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 34% of games and busted (under half his average) in 17%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.