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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

RANK #412025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG212025-26 9-CAT #458-CAT #38G · Minnesota TimberwolvesAge 246' 7"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
20.1
Points / game
4.8
Rebounds
7.1
Assists
28.0
Minutes
40.7%
FG%
38.2
FPTS / game
+6.7
vs G median
TIER 5 · #41 OVERALLDepth piece — #21 among guards

LaMelo Ball is ranked #21 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 6.6 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 32.8 minutes/game vs 28.1 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile90%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
LATE FLIER

LaMelo Ball 2026-27 fantasy outlook

39.3Proj FPTS/G · ~2987 / 76 games
30.944.5Typical game · middle 50%
#35Projected rank
31.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 31.7) lines up with our rank (#35). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: growing workload (32.8 minutes/gm late vs 28.1 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

LaMelo Ball consistency and floor

74 GAMES
25.5
Floor (p10)
38.2
Average
54
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered80%
Boom rate125%+ of average19%
Bust rateunder half of average3%
38.2
Season avg FPTS
41.3
Last 10 FPTS
44.9
Last 5 FPTS

Ball vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points20.190
Rebounds4.890
Assists7.195
Steals1.282
Blocks0.371
Minutes28.069
Fantasy PPG38.290
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Ball fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 38.243.7ORL47.6MEM45.2SAC36NY36.6PHI27.3BOS32.9@BKN36.9PHX41.7IND49.6@MIN50@BOS50DET40.4@NY54MIA29.9@ORL
SEASON HIGH 78.1SEASON LOW 17.4LAST 5 AVG 44.8

LaMelo Ball game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 17@ORLL 121-902523250037-173-829.9
Apr 14MIAW 127-126 OT403051011312-312-1654
Apr 12@NYW 110-962919762157-195-1640.4
Apr 10DETL 118-1003327582147-206-1650
Apr 8@BOSL 113-10237365610412-246-1550
Apr 5@MINW 122-10831353810413-227-1449.6
Apr 3INDW 129-1083018692036-155-1241.7
Apr 2PHXW 127-10725152111006-132-636.9
Mar 31@BKNW 117-862814790034-123-1032.9
Mar 29BOSL 114-992619431047-193-1227.3
Mar 28PHIL 118-1143720381027-265-1836.6
Mar 26NYW 114-1033622560017-144-936
Mar 24SACW 134-902320682007-166-1345.2
Mar 21MEMW 124-1012929343139-197-1447.6
Mar 19ORLW 130-1112020653137-133-843.7
Mar 17MIAW 136-106333061310511-224-1254.7
Mar 14@SAL 115-1022217423116-134-1035.8
Mar 12@SACW 117-10931306510310-226-1344.7
Mar 11@PORW 103-1012214441036-162-724.8
Mar 9@PHXL 111-993322760029-194-1237.4
Mar 7MIAL 128-1203321251037-225-1530.9
Mar 5@BOSW 118-892318740007-174-1032.4
Mar 4DALW 117-902915595145-194-1348.5
Feb 28PORW 109-933015482016-192-736.8
Feb 27@INDW 133-1092220481137-123-839.8
Feb 25@CHIW 131-992316371026-164-1231.1
Feb 22@WSHW 129-11227378710012-2010-1560.1
Feb 21CLEL 118-1132718260024-172-1027.4
Feb 20HOUL 105-1013111771115-141-634.9
Feb 12ATLW 110-1073224461018-237-1839.8
Feb 10DETL 110-1042920440038-224-1227.8
Feb 8@ATLW 126-1193119192027-202-837.7
Feb 6@HOUW 109-992920640037-195-1230.2
Feb 2NOW 102-953024852028-203-1445.1
Jan 31SAW 111-1063216880035-152-634.6
Jan 30@DALW 123-1213122390138-176-1039.1
Jan 29@MEMW 112-972316142026-144-927.2
Jan 26PHIW 130-932011281044-122-624.4
Jan 24WSHW 119-11532202111038-193-938.9
Jan 23@ORLW 124-972816670126-124-834.7
Jan 22CLEL 94-87222572121-150-1025.5
Jan 19@DENW 110-871910163014-112-728.2
Jan 18@GSL 136-1162115420015-171-821.8
Jan 16@LALW 135-117293061101210-209-1754.7
Jan 13@LACL 117-10932259510311-243-1143.3
Jan 11@UTAHW 150-952317550055-125-1125.5
Jan 9INDL 114-11227333830312-247-1554.6
Jan 8TORL 97-962515771017-201-735.9
Jan 6@OKCW 124-972516220045-104-717.4
Jan 4@CHIW 112-992617672017-153-839.7
Jan 3@MILL 122-1212612272004-122-730.9
Dec 31GSL 132-1253027553059-137-1044.5
Dec 30MILL 123-1132926271069-236-1335.9
Dec 27@ORLW 120-1052922751067-204-1034.9
Dec 24WSHW 126-1092523291127-124-942.9
Dec 23@CLEL 139-1322423490038-166-1038.3
Dec 21@DETL 112-86238162243-142-726.2
Dec 19ATLW 133-126292841310610-168-1149.3
Dec 6@TORW 111-861211231024-90-418.9
Dec 4@NYL 119-10437348910412-275-1356.1
Dec 2@BKNL 116-10330125140233-92-642
Nov 29TORW 118-111 OT2214250026-161-621.9
Nov 29CHIW 123-1162916782026-193-1040.4
Nov 27NYL 129-1012711641044-142-723.2
Nov 22LACL 131-1162518470037-141-730.3
Nov 20@INDL 127-1182718792065-212-1139.9
Nov 18@TORL 110-1082820581036-191-738
Nov 15@MILL 147-134 OT27163100025-152-632.6
Nov 1MINL 122-1053318781037-192-838.4
Oct 30ORLL 123-10736177132038-191-947.9
Oct 28@MIAL 144-1172820891056-184-1241.1
Oct 26@WSHW 139-1133538131330413-255-1278.1
Oct 25@PHIL 125-12134271083148-184-1159
Oct 22BKNW 136-1173420280037-154-831.4
QIs LaMelo Ball a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #41 overall, #21 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should LaMelo Ball be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 31.7 (roughly round 4 in a 10-team league). We rank him #35, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will LaMelo Ball score in 2026-27?

We project 39.3 points per game across an expected 76 games — approximately 2987 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 30.9 and 44.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #35 in projected scoring.

QHow does LaMelo Ball rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, LaMelo Ball finished #45 in 9-cat and #38 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #41 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #38 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is LaMelo Ball for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 80% of games, with a floor of 25.5 and a ceiling of 54 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 19% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.