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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

RANK #112025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEC22025-26 9-CAT #178-CAT #15C · Philadelphia 76ersAge 327' 0"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
26.9
Points / game
7.7
Rebounds
3.9
Assists
31.6
Minutes
48.9%
FG%
44.5
FPTS / game
+12.1
vs C median
TIER 4 · #11 OVERALLDepth piece — #2 among centers

Joel Embiid is ranked #2 among 58 eligible NBA centers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 5.1 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 34.2 minutes/game vs 31.5 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile98%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Joel Embiid 2026-27 fantasy outlook

45.7Proj FPTS/G · ~2331 / 51 games
38.952.7Typical game · middle 50%
#6Projected rank
48.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #6 versus an ADP of 48.7 — the market drafts him 47 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (34.2 minutes/gm late vs 31.5 season), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Elite?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Joel Embiid consistency and floor

38 GAMES
29.8
Floor (p10)
44.5
Average
59.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered87%
Boom rate125%+ of average18%
Bust rateunder half of average3%
44.5
Season avg FPTS
48.0
Last 10 FPTS
49.6
Last 5 FPTS

Embiid vs other centers

PERCENTILE · 58 RANKED
Points26.998
Rebounds7.764
Assists3.995
Steals0.657
Blocks1.279
Minutes31.693
Fantasy PPG44.598
Percentile among all ranked NBA centers · 99 = best

Embiid fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 44.566HOU57.7NY48.3MIL59SAC63.2NO36.5@LAC59.9@LAL49.3@PHX40.7@IND46.2MIA52.7CHI45.2@CHA38.9@MIA53.1MIN57.9@SA
SEASON HIGH 66SEASON LOW 17.2LAST 5 AVG 49.6

Joel Embiid game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 7@SAL 115-10239341210448-192-657.9
Apr 3MINW 115-10334191370316-171-653.1
Mar 30@MIAL 119-10934267301310-252-638.9
Mar 28@CHAW 118-1143629620208-193-645.2
Mar 25CHIW 157-13728356701312-173-352.7
Feb 27MIAW 124-11731261141028-202-646.2
Feb 25@INDW 135-11426276501411-171-440.7
Feb 8@PHXW 109-1033333930129-194-749.3
Feb 6@LALL 119-11539357712313-191-259.9
Feb 3@LACW 128-1133224531018-191-236.5
Feb 1NOW 124-114394011412513-273-563.2
Jan 30SACW 113-11136375811213-211-259
Jan 28MILW 139-12229299510211-241-448.3
Jan 24NYL 112-109363811501413-213-557.7
Jan 23HOUW 128-122 OT4632151011510-191-366
Jan 20INDW 113-10433309400110-171-145.8
Jan 17CLEL 117-11533335301110-222-345.5
Jan 15CLEL 133-1072520431167-142-529.3
Jan 13@TORW 115-1023627842079-171-641.6
Jan 10@ORLW 103-913122931147-170-339.3
Jan 8WSHW 131-11025287202210-141-243.4
Jan 6DENL 125-124 OT403210201613-221-444
Jan 4@NYW 130-11933261050039-150-142.5
Jan 2@DALW 123-1083522460129-180-336.8
Dec 31@MEMW 139-136 OT383410812411-281-663
Dec 27@CHIL 109-10232315101210-192-439.5
Dec 24BKNL 114-1063127640238-131-143.2
Dec 14@ATLL 120-11730221411238-201-346.3
Dec 13INDW 115-10532399310312-232-854.3
Dec 8LALL 112-1083016721104-210-633.4
Dec 5GSW 99-982512630135-130-523.7
Nov 30ATLL 142-134 2OT3018421126-140-329.8
Nov 9TORW 130-12026296401210-161-443.2
Nov 5@CHIL 113-1112620623437-211-648.2
Oct 31BOSL 109-1082520630246-131-233.7
Oct 28@WSHW 139-134 OT2325750139-173-640.9
Oct 25CHAW 125-1212020242047-113-630.4
Oct 22@BOSW 117-116204620101-90-417.2
QIs Joel Embiid a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #11 overall, #2 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Joel Embiid be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 48.7 (roughly round 5 in a 10-team league). We rank him #6, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Joel Embiid score in 2026-27?

We project 45.7 points per game across an expected 51 games — approximately 2331 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 38.9 and 52.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #6 in projected scoring.

QHow does Joel Embiid rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Joel Embiid finished #17 in 9-cat and #15 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #11 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #15 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Joel Embiid for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 87% of games, with a floor of 29.8 and a ceiling of 59.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 18% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.