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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet

RANK #802025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG402025-26 9-CAT #798-CAT #86G · Houston RocketsAge 326' 0"2024-25 seasonPROP GUIDE →
14.1
Points / game
3.7
Rebounds
5.6
Assists
35.2
Minutes
37.8%
FG%
31.4
FPTS / game
-0.1
vs G median
TIER 6 · #80 OVERALLDepth piece — #40 among guards

Fred VanVleet is ranked #40 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 7.8 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (33.6/game vs 35.2 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile80%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Fred VanVleet 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY
29.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1983 / 67 games
24.138.5Typical game · middle 50%
#91Projected rank
136.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #91 versus an ADP of 136.7 — the market drafts him 288 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (35.2 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Fred VanVleet consistency and floor

60 GAMES
18.2
Floor (p10)
31.4
Average
46.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered77%
Boom rate125%+ of average22%
Bust rateunder half of average3%
31.3
Season avg FPTS
26.5
Last 10 FPTS
23.7
Last 5 FPTS

VanVleet vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points14.173
Rebounds3.772
Assists5.687
Steals1.696
Blocks0.482
Minutes35.297
Fantasy PPG31.480
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

VanVleet fantasy points, last 15 games

2024-25 · BOOM · BUST
60300AVG 31.424.5SAC30.4PHX23.9DAL40.3CHI28.9PHI32.7@ORL49.5@MIA17.1DEN29.3ATL18.2@UTAH30.9@PHX24.3@LAL25OKC18.7@GS19.5DEN
SEASON HIGH 52.1SEASON LOW 6LAST 5 AVG 23.6

Fred VanVleet game log — 2024-25

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 13DENL 126-1112715031035-133-819.5
Apr 7@GSW 106-96363133121-81-518.7
Apr 5OKCW 125-1113713061005-93-725
Apr 1@LALL 104-98407490012-141-724.3
Mar 31@PHXW 148-1092813272015-93-630.9
Mar 28@UTAHW 121-110344161121-101-718.2
Mar 26ATLW 121-1143921430015-143-829.3
Mar 23DENL 116-111427350012-121-817.1
Mar 22@MIAW 102-9836370330113-179-1149.5
Mar 19@ORLW 116-1083619631014-153-932.7
Mar 18PHIW 144-137 OT383752221-61-528.9
Mar 16CHIW 117-1143523470118-205-1440.3
Mar 15DALW 133-96258731003-82-423.9
Mar 13PHXW 111-1042810244004-92-630.4
Mar 2SACL 113-103353553011-81-724.5
Feb 2BKNL 110-98173020001-41-46
Jan 31@MEML 120-1193613151124-122-825.7
Jan 29@ATLW 100-96365461022-91-719.8
Jan 28@BOSW 114-112377571002-92-726.5
Jan 26@CLEW 135-1313820360026-136-930.6
Jan 23CLEW 109-1084026350068-157-1231.1
Jan 20DETL 107-963820526017-155-1346
Jan 19@PORW 125-103369431023-103-619.3
Jan 16@DENW 128-1083516183006-134-938.2
Jan 14MEMW 120-118369291122-52-328.9
Jan 10@MEMW 119-1154122144038-133-738.2
Jan 8@WSHW 135-11238191124127-152-951.2
Jan 6LALW 119-1154215221105-123-826.4
Jan 4BOSL 109-86308130013-71-312.7
Jan 2DALW 110-99425576021-80-437.5
Dec 30MIAL 104-1003816763236-174-1045.4
Dec 28MINL 113-1123918670136-165-1035.7
Dec 27@NOW 128-1112625641028-157-1239.2
Dec 24@CHAW 114-1012920560128-163-836
Dec 22@TORW 114-110382852011-100-524.1
Dec 20NOW 133-1133513292223-82-738.9
Dec 15OKCL 111-96428971013-151-1131.3
Dec 12GSW 91-90368270043-132-916.9
Dec 6@GSL 99-933713451215-163-1033.3
Dec 4@SACL 120-1113713210016-171-1015.9
Dec 2OKCW 119-11635382300110-195-943.9
Nov 28@PHIW 122-115 OT4213352234-143-933.1
Nov 27@MINW 117-111 OT452781100110-256-1252.1
Nov 24PORL 104-98288551034-130-621.5
Nov 23PORW 116-88282282010-20-121.4
Nov 21INDW 130-1133518264016-144-840.4
Nov 19@MILL 101-1003526651109-233-1146.7
Nov 18@CHIW 143-10728287720110-163-651.9
Nov 16LACW 125-10433187102027-154-845.4
Nov 14LACW 111-1033415552226-182-738.5
Nov 10@DETW 101-99377773113-131-736.9
Nov 9@OKCL 126-1073011321014-92-419.6
Nov 7SAW 127-100252171020310-111-247.4
Nov 5NYW 109-973619252118-141-536.9
Nov 3GSL 127-121 OT4011351102-121-828.1
Nov 1@DALW 108-102394540002-130-716
Oct 29@SAW 106-1014111392004-143-834.1
Oct 27@SAL 109-1063918273025-124-1037.9
Oct 26MEMW 128-1083116331005-95-927.1
Oct 24CHAL 110-1053714462024-182-1131.8
QIs Fred VanVleet a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #80 overall, #40 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Fred VanVleet be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 136.7 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #91, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Fred VanVleet score in 2026-27?

We project 29.6 points per game across an expected 67 games — approximately 1983 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 24.1 and 38.5 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #91 in projected scoring.

QHow does Fred VanVleet rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Fred VanVleet finished #79 in 9-cat and #86 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #80 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Fred VanVleet for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 77% of games, with a floor of 18.2 and a ceiling of 46.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 22% of games and busted (under half his average) in 3%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.