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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

RANK #122025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG62025-26 9-CAT #88-CAT #7G · Cleveland CavaliersAge 296' 2"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →
27.9
Points / game
4.5
Rebounds
5.7
Assists
33.5
Minutes
48.3%
FG%
44.4
FPTS / game
+12.9
vs G median
TIER 4 · #12 OVERALLDepth piece — #6 among guards

Donovan Mitchell is ranked #6 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 3.1 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (32.4/game vs 33.4 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile97%
2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Donovan Mitchell 2026-27 fantasy outlook

42.9Proj FPTS/G · ~3175 / 74 games
37.752.4Typical game · middle 50%
#16Projected rank
20.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #16 versus an ADP of 20.8 — the market drafts him 11 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (33.4 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Contested?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Donovan Mitchell consistency and floor

70 GAMES
30.6
Floor (p10)
44.4
Average
58.9
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered84%
Boom rate125%+ of average16%
Bust rateunder half of average1%
44.3
Season avg FPTS
40.3
Last 10 FPTS
41.4
Last 5 FPTS

Mitchell vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED
Points27.997
Rebounds4.585
Assists5.788
Steals1.594
Blocks0.371
Minutes33.591
Fantasy PPG44.497
Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Mitchell fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · BOOM · BUST
80400AVG 44.454.9BOS35.6PHI38.5@ORL42.4@DAL48.7DAL39.1@MIL41.9@NO46.9ORL38.2MIA29.8MIA44.9@UTAH20.6@LAL40.7@GS54.2IND46.4ATL
SEASON HIGH 63.8SEASON LOW 20.6LAST 5 AVG 41.3

Donovan Mitchell game log — 2025-26

BOOM · BUST
DATEOPPRESULTMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFPTS
Apr 8ATLW 122-11635317401212-191-446.4
Apr 5INDW 117-10833386610316-272-754.2
Apr 3@GSW 118-1113425632157-144-740.7
Apr 1@LALL 127-1132410360024-100-320.6
Mar 31@UTAHW 122-11336342510210-183-844.9
Mar 27MIAW 149-128316464021-100-329.8
Mar 25MIAL 120-10333286400312-224-938.2
Mar 25ORLW 136-13135422300214-223-746.9
Mar 21@NOW 111-1063927731019-233-841.9
Mar 18@MILW 123-1163419831104-141-439.1
Mar 15DALL 130-120392611120110-244-1148.7
Mar 13@DALW 138-10529242820211-161-442.4
Mar 11@ORLL 128-1223625551039-244-1338.5
Mar 9PHIW 115-1013117362004-110-235.6
Mar 8BOSL 109-983330751209-183-954.9
Feb 25NYW 109-943123543035-182-841
Feb 22@OKCL 121-1133520752039-190-638.9
Feb 21@CHAW 118-1133432342039-222-744.6
Feb 20BKNW 112-842117350027-122-426.1
Feb 12WSHW 138-11328303520511-192-742.1
Feb 10@DENW 119-117343211022211-233-1058.2
Feb 8@SACW 132-12635352422313-242-852.4
Feb 5@LACW 124-9130295940210-193-958.5
Feb 2@PORW 130-1113114092136-152-733.5
Jan 31@PHXL 126-1132816361086-123-823.6
Jan 29LALW 129-992925551009-213-941.5
Jan 27ORLW 114-9835454410415-255-854.8
Jan 25@ORLW 119-10538365920315-302-858.5
Jan 24SACW 123-11834335810111-255-1253
Jan 22@CHAW 94-873724361088-202-831.6
Jan 19OKCL 136-1043519433015-181-936.3
Jan 17@PHIW 117-11539139121064-134-738.8
Jan 15@PHIW 133-10733357910111-225-1258.9
Jan 13UTAHL 123-1123421321007-184-930.6
Jan 10MINW 146-1343128381019-214-1045.6
Jan 9@MINL 131-12237307810410-202-849.4
Jan 4DETL 114-11033306330210-213-1048.7
Jan 3DENW 113-10835336510414-245-1246.7
Dec 31PHXW 129-113303410721410-184-761.5
Dec 30@SAW 113-1013510273033-122-928.9
Dec 28@HOUL 117-1003016362117-172-536.6
Dec 25@NYL 126-12433347640112-254-962.4
Dec 24NOW 141-11830274410311-162-637.8
Dec 23CHAW 139-13229304500310-186-1139.3
Dec 18@CHIL 127-11133321500311-234-937.7
Dec 14CHAL 119-111 OT3817272126-241-1136.9
Dec 13@WSHW 130-12635484420317-318-1561.8
Dec 7GSL 99-9437294301211-267-1439.3
Dec 6SAW 130-1173228283059-171-546.4
Dec 4PORL 122-11034335510412-263-1345.5
Dec 2@INDW 135-11934439600316-274-1059.8
Nov 30BOSL 117-1153918783057-163-742.4
Nov 29@ATLL 130-12335423310415-287-1549.1
Nov 25@TORL 110-993417181026-203-1231.2
Nov 23LACW 120-10533378610214-225-956.6
Nov 22INDW 120-10934329510511-224-1148.3
Nov 20HOUL 114-1043421322048-173-929.6
Nov 18MILW 118-10636375710214-224-854.5
Nov 15MEMW 108-10033305520410-214-1345.5
Nov 14TORL 126-1133631661277-182-949.2
Nov 11@MIAL 140-138 OT412815810110-283-1660
Nov 9CHIW 128-12235296610210-245-1246.2
Nov 8@WSHW 148-1152624554128-204-1050.5
Nov 6PHIW 132-12135464810215-216-1163.8
Nov 2ATLW 117-10936372521312-218-1552.9
Oct 29@BOSL 125-1053215460135-125-928.8
Oct 27@DETW 116-9529351200513-182-434.2
Oct 26MILW 118-1133324341059-201-831.6
Oct 24@BKNW 131-12435352530310-156-1050.9
Oct 22@NYL 119-11136312521312-252-946.9
QIs Donovan Mitchell a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #12 overall, #6 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Donovan Mitchell be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 20.8 (roughly round 3 in a 10-team league). We rank him #16, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Donovan Mitchell score in 2026-27?

We project 42.9 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 3175 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 37.7 and 52.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #16 in projected scoring.

QHow does Donovan Mitchell rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Donovan Mitchell finished #8 in 9-cat and #7 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #12 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #7 when turnovers are excluded.

QHow consistent is Donovan Mitchell for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 30.6 and a ceiling of 58.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 1%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.