
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell is ranked #6 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 3.1 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (32.4/game vs 33.4 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.
Donovan Mitchell 2026-27 fantasy outlook
We rank him #16 versus an ADP of 20.8 — the market drafts him 11 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (33.4 minutes/gm), steady per-minute production.
Donovan Mitchell consistency and floor
70 GAMESMitchell vs other guards
PERCENTILE · 199 RANKEDMitchell fantasy points, last 15 games
2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUSTDonovan Mitchell game log — 2025-26
■ BOOM · ■ BUSTMore on Mitchell and the G board
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #12 overall, #6 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 20.8 (roughly round 3 in a 10-team league). We rank him #16, so he is a value at that price.
We project 42.9 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 3175 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 37.7 and 52.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #16 in projected scoring.
Based on 2025-26 production, Donovan Mitchell finished #8 in 9-cat and #7 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #12 in points formats. High turnovers cost him in 9-cat — he climbs to #7 when turnovers are excluded.
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 84% of games, with a floor of 30.6 and a ceiling of 58.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 16% of games and busted (under half his average) in 1%.
Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.