NBA / Rankings / Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren

RANK #462025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEC82025-26 9-CAT #19 8-CAT #28C · Oklahoma City ThunderAge 247' 1"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

17.1

Points / game

8.9

Rebounds

1.7

Assists

28.9

Minutes

55.7%

FG%

36.2

FPTS / game

+3.8

vs C median

TIER 6 · #46 OVERALLDepth piece — #8 among centers

Chet Holmgren is ranked #8 among 58 eligible NBA centers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.4 points per game above his average over the final five games on essentially the same workload — an efficiency spike that may not fully carry over.

Percentile88%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Chet Holmgren 2026-27 fantasy outlook

35.4Proj FPTS/G · ~2620 / 74 games

27.8–43.2Typical game · middle 50%

#52Projected rank

44ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 44) lines up with our rank (#52). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (24.6 minutes/gm late vs 28.3 season), late-season gains in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK Medium^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Chet Holmgren consistency and floor

71 GAMES

20.9

Floor (p10)

36.2

Average

49.9

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered77%

Boom rate125%+ of average21%

Bust rateunder half of average6%

35.6

Season avg FPTS

35.1

Last 10 FPTS

40.7

Last 5 FPTS

Holmgren vs other centers

PERCENTILE · 58 RANKED

Points17.188

Rebounds8.981

Assists1.760

Steals0.657

Blocks1.998

Minutes28.984

Fantasy PPG36.288

Percentile among all ranked NBA centers · 99 = best

Holmgren fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 70.3SEASON LOW 5.7LAST 5 AVG 40.6

Chet Holmgren game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Apr 9	@LAC	W 128-110	31	30	14	5	2	4	2	10-13	3-4	70.3
Apr 8	@LAL	W 123-87	22	15	10	0	2	2	2	6-10	1-3	37
Apr 5	UTAH	W 146-111	22	21	7	1	0	4	1	8-11	4-5	41.9
Apr 3	LAL	W 139-96	18	7	4	0	2	1	1	3-7	1-4	19.8
Mar 31	DET	W 114-110 OT	30	13	9	1	2	2	3	6-11	1-3	34.3
Mar 29	NY	W 111-100	33	16	9	2	1	0	1	5-10	0-3	31.8
Mar 25	@BOS	L 119-109	26	10	5	0	0	0	1	3-7	1-2	15
Mar 23	@PHI	W 123-103	30	17	9	4	0	5	1	6-11	3-4	47.8
Mar 21	@WSH	W 132-111	27	18	10	0	0	2	1	6-9	0-1	35
Mar 18	@BKN	W 121-92	22	11	2	1	1	1	3	2-6	0-2	17.9
Mar 17	@ORL	W 113-108	33	20	12	1	0	1	0	8-14	0-2	38.9
Mar 15	MIN	W 116-103	32	21	9	2	3	1	0	9-13	1-4	46.8
Mar 13	BOS	W 104-102	28	14	9	0	0	0	1	5-10	1-4	23.8
Mar 5	@NY	W 103-100	32	28	8	2	0	0	3	11-19	6-11	37.6
Mar 4	@CHI	W 116-108	26	12	11	2	0	2	2	4-10	0-2	32.2
Mar 2	@DAL	W 100-87	28	19	9	1	2	2	2	8-14	1-5	41.3
Feb 28	DEN	W 127-121 OT	38	15	21	3	1	3	1	5-8	1-2	55.7
Feb 25	@TOR	W 116-107	30	7	9	4	1	3	1	3-8	0-1	34.8
Feb 22	CLE	W 121-113	34	17	15	4	1	3	2	5-14	1-4	51
Feb 21	BKN	W 105-86	26	15	7	2	0	0	4	3-6	2-2	22.4
Feb 16	@STRIPES	W 47-21	6	8	2	0	0	2	0	3-4	1-1	16.4
Feb 15	@STRIPES	L 42-40	7	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-3	0-1	5.7
Feb 13	MIL	L 110-93	27	16	13	4	0	2	0	5-12	0-4	43.6
Feb 12	@PHX	W 136-109	21	13	4	2	0	0	1	4-8	0-1	19.8
Feb 10	@LAL	W 119-110	31	13	10	2	1	2	1	5-10	1-2	36
Feb 7	HOU	L 112-106	35	17	14	0	0	0	1	5-10	1-3	32.8
Feb 4	ORL	W 128-92	27	16	10	1	0	0	0	7-12	0-4	29.5
Feb 2	@DEN	W 121-111	28	14	4	1	0	3	1	3-10	1-7	28.3
Jan 30	@MIN	L 123-111	30	15	5	2	1	3	1	6-10	1-2	35
Jan 28	NO	W 104-95	33	20	14	3	0	5	1	8-14	1-3	55.3
Jan 26	TOR	L 103-101	29	11	10	0	0	0	2	5-10	0-3	21
Jan 24	IND	L 117-114	33	25	13	3	0	3	0	8-14	2-4	54.1
Jan 22	@MIL	W 122-102	32	10	7	2	1	1	2	3-9	1-4	25.4
Jan 19	@CLE	W 136-104	31	28	8	2	0	2	1	11-16	4-5	45.6
Jan 18	@MIA	L 122-120	30	14	11	2	0	5	2	6-12	0-2	43.2
Jan 16	@HOU	W 111-91	29	18	9	1	2	4	0	7-9	2-3	48.3
Jan 14	SA	W 119-98	25	8	10	0	0	3	1	1-4	0-2	28
Jan 12	MIA	W 124-112	32	16	10	2	1	3	0	7-13	1-4	43
Jan 8	UTAH	W 129-125 OT	40	23	12	1	1	3	1	9-15	0-3	49.9
Jan 6	CHA	L 124-97	26	15	6	2	0	0	0	5-11	1-4	25.2
Jan 5	@PHX	L 108-105	33	18	9	1	1	3	1	8-11	2-5	41.3
Jan 3	@GS	W 131-94	26	15	15	4	1	4	2	5-8	1-3	52
Jan 1	POR	W 124-95	25	12	10	1	2	6	4	5-10	1-3	45.5
Dec 30	ATL	W 140-129	31	24	9	2	0	2	2	9-14	2-4	41.8
Dec 28	PHI	W 129-104	29	29	9	1	0	4	6	12-17	2-4	47.3
Dec 25	SA	L 117-102	31	10	12	2	0	1	1	5-9	0-2	29.4
Dec 24	@SA	L 130-110	27	7	3	1	0	1	0	3-10	1-3	15.1
Dec 20	@MIN	L 112-107	25	14	5	0	0	2	0	4-9	0-2	26
Dec 19	LAC	W 122-101	31	22	7	2	1	0	1	8-13	3-5	35.4
Dec 14	SA	L 111-109	30	17	7	0	0	1	1	3-8	1-3	27.4
Dec 11	PHX	W 138-89	25	24	8	2	0	3	0	9-13	4-4	45.6
Dec 8	@UTAH	W 131-101	23	25	9	1	1	2	3	12-15	1-2	43.3
Dec 6	DAL	W 132-111	23	15	8	1	0	1	0	6-11	1-4	29.1
Dec 3	@GS	W 124-112	30	21	8	3	0	1	3	8-12	2-3	35.1
Nov 30	@POR	W 123-115	30	19	9	1	1	3	2	9-15	0-0	41.3
Nov 29	PHX	W 123-119	32	23	8	1	0	0	0	8-13	2-5	34.1
Nov 27	MIN	W 113-105	29	12	9	2	1	1	1	4-12	2-4	30.8
Nov 24	POR	W 122-95	25	5	9	4	0	3	3	2-8	0-3	27.8
Nov 22	@UTAH	W 144-112	27	11	3	2	2	1	0	5-14	0-4	26.6
Nov 20	SAC	W 113-99	31	21	7	1	1	3	6	10-15	1-5	36.9
Nov 18	@NO	W 126-109	33	26	9	0	0	1	3	10-14	3-6	36.8
Nov 16	@CHA	W 109-96	32	25	8	2	0	1	2	10-20	2-4	38.6
Nov 13	LAL	W 121-92	20	11	3	1	0	2	0	4-7	1-2	22.1
Nov 12	GS	W 126-102	25	23	11	2	0	1	2	9-9	2-2	40.2
Nov 9	@MEM	W 114-100	30	21	7	2	1	0	0	8-14	1-4	35.4
Nov 8	@SAC	W 132-101	21	10	7	1	0	1	2	4-9	0-4	20.9
Nov 5	@LAC	W 126-107	30	11	5	3	1	3	3	4-8	0-1	30.5
Oct 28	@DAL	W 101-94	32	18	11	2	0	4	3	6-10	2-5	43.2
Oct 25	@ATL	W 117-100	27	31	11	1	3	1	3	8-12	6-8	54.7
Oct 23	@IND	W 141-135 2OT	39	15	12	2	2	0	3	4-12	0-6	35.4
Oct 21	HOU	W 125-124 2OT	39	28	7	2	0	0	3	11-17	2-5	36.4

More on Holmgren and the C board

Duren vs Holmgren Holmgren vs Sarr Centers rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Holmgren player props

QIs Chet Holmgren a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #46 overall, #8 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Chet Holmgren be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 44 (roughly round 5 in a 10-team league). We rank him #52, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Chet Holmgren score in 2026-27?

We project 35.4 points per game across an expected 74 games — approximately 2620 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 27.8 and 43.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #52 in projected scoring.

QHow does Chet Holmgren rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Chet Holmgren finished #19 in 9-cat and #28 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #46 in points formats. Low turnovers make him even more valuable when they count against you.

QHow consistent is Chet Holmgren for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 77% of games, with a floor of 20.9 and a ceiling of 49.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 21% of games and busted (under half his average) in 6%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.