NBA / Rankings / Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

RANK #1562025-26 RESULTS · PTS LEAGUEG762025-26 9-CAT #191 8-CAT #185G · Indiana PacersAge 266' 5"2025-26 seasonPROP GUIDE →

13.8

Points / game

4.2

Rebounds

1.9

Assists

29.7

Minutes

41.4%

FG%

23.6

FPTS / game

-7.9

vs G median

TIER 6 · #156 OVERALLDepth piece — #76 among guards

Aaron Nesmith is ranked #76 among 198 eligible NBA guards. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.5 points per game below his average. His minutes held steady (30.6/game vs 29.6 on the season), so the drop appears related to lower per-minute production rather than reduced playing time.

Percentile62%

2025-26 season results · Computed from official box scores · Points scoring: PTS + 1.2×REB + 1.5×AST + 3×STL + 3×BLK − TO · updated July 27

LATE FLIER

Aaron Nesmith 2026-27 fantasy outlook

DAY TO DAY

23.6Proj FPTS/G · ~1322 / 56 games

17.1–29.2Typical game · middle 50%

#162Projected rank

139.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 139.8) lines up with our rank (#162). Draft confidently at his current ADP. Projection drivers: stable workload (29.6 minutes/gm), a late-season decline in per-minute production.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025-26 game log

Aaron Nesmith consistency and floor

45 GAMES

12.4

Floor (p10)

23.6

Average

37.2

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered71%

Boom rate125%+ of average24%

Bust rateunder half of average7%

23.5

Season avg FPTS

23.7

Last 10 FPTS

22.1

Last 5 FPTS

Nesmith vs other guards

PERCENTILE · 199 RANKED

Points13.871

Rebounds4.281

Assists1.935

Steals0.635

Blocks0.590

Minutes29.777

Fantasy PPG23.662

Percentile among all ranked NBA guards · 99 = best

Nesmith fantasy points, last 15 games

2025-26 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 43.8SEASON LOW 6.9LAST 5 AVG 22.1

Aaron Nesmith game log — 2025-26

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

DATE	OPP	RESULT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FPTS
Mar 27	LAC	L 114-113	35	26	7	2	1	0	5	10-14	4-5	35.4
Mar 25	LAL	L 137-130	32	14	3	1	1	0	3	6-13	2-8	19.1
Mar 23	@ORL	W 128-126	35	19	2	2	0	1	1	6-11	5-8	26.4
Mar 22	@SA	L 134-119	25	5	2	0	0	0	0	2-7	1-3	7.4
Mar 18	POR	L 127-119	26	15	3	1	1	0	1	6-13	1-5	22.1
Mar 17	@NY	L 136-110	24	14	1	0	0	0	0	5-8	4-6	15.2
Mar 15	@MIL	L 134-123	29	32	2	1	0	1	3	10-14	7-10	35.9
Mar 13	NY	L 101-92	34	12	2	2	1	0	1	5-13	1-5	19.4
Mar 11	@SAC	L 114-109	35	29	4	3	0	1	0	10-22	2-7	41.3
Mar 9	@POR	L 131-111	25	9	1	2	1	0	1	4-6	1-3	15.2
Mar 7	@LAL	L 128-117	23	7	3	1	0	2	1	3-10	1-6	17.1
Mar 5	@LAC	L 130-107	20	2	3	2	0	0	1	1-8	0-4	7.6
Feb 20	@WSH	L 112-105	15	3	2	1	0	0	0	0-3	0-2	6.9
Feb 11	@NY	W 137-134 OT	37	11	8	0	0	2	2	4-10	1-3	24.6
Feb 8	@TOR	L 122-104	23	7	1	1	1	0	0	2-4	1-2	12.7
Feb 7	@MIL	L 105-99	27	12	1	1	2	0	2	4-9	2-6	18.7
Feb 3	HOU	L 118-114	33	17	6	2	0	1	1	6-13	3-7	29.2
Feb 1	ATL	W 129-124	34	23	1	1	0	0	2	8-10	3-4	23.7
Jan 29	CHI	W 113-110	34	14	4	4	1	1	0	5-9	3-5	30.8
Jan 26	@ATL	L 132-116	29	18	2	4	0	0	3	6-11	3-6	23.4
Jan 24	@OKC	W 117-114	36	17	5	5	0	0	2	7-14	3-5	28.5
Jan 22	@BOS	L 119-104	28	6	3	4	0	0	1	3-9	0-4	14.6
Jan 20	@PHI	L 113-104	32	7	11	1	1	2	6	1-9	0-6	24.7
Jan 17	NO	W 127-119	33	12	4	1	1	0	0	5-13	2-8	21.3
Jan 15	TOR	L 115-101	31	6	5	2	1	1	4	1-12	0-8	17
Jan 13	BOS	W 98-96	32	6	5	2	0	0	1	2-9	2-6	14
Jan 11	MIA	W 123-99	27	12	9	2	0	0	1	4-12	1-5	24.8
Jan 9	@CHA	W 114-112	35	16	5	2	1	1	2	5-12	3-7	29
Jan 7	CLE	L 120-116	33	14	8	4	1	0	2	5-17	3-7	30.6
Jan 4	@ORL	L 135-127	34	25	4	8	0	2	4	8-16	5-11	43.8
Jan 3	SA	L 123-113	29	9	3	3	0	1	3	3-6	1-2	17.1
Dec 31	ORL	L 112-110	32	9	10	0	3	1	0	3-11	2-6	33
Dec 30	@HOU	L 126-119	24	14	3	3	0	1	1	5-8	4-6	24.1
Dec 28	@MIA	L 142-116	19	9	5	1	0	2	1	3-9	3-8	21.5
Nov 14	@PHX	L 133-98	20	10	3	1	1	0	0	3-9	1-3	18.1
Nov 12	@UTAH	L 152-128	32	17	4	7	1	1	0	5-14	4-9	38.3
Nov 9	@DEN	L 117-100	26	25	1	0	4	0	1	7-10	3-4	37.2
Nov 6	BKN	L 112-103	32	15	7	2	1	0	3	6-17	3-9	26.4
Nov 4	MIL	L 117-115	34	17	7	1	1	0	1	5-16	2-9	28.9
Nov 1	GS	W 114-109	35	31	6	1	0	0	1	10-19	5-11	38.7
Oct 31	ATL	L 128-108	25	12	2	1	1	0	0	3-11	2-8	18.9
Oct 30	@DAL	L 107-105	37	5	3	1	0	1	1	2-16	1-9	12.1
Oct 26	@MIN	L 114-110	35	18	8	2	0	0	0	6-17	5-12	30.6
Oct 26	@MEM	L 128-103	31	15	1	1	0	1	0	5-11	4-6	20.7
Oct 23	OKC	L 141-135 2OT	27	5	7	0	0	0	1	2-7	1-3	12.4

More on Nesmith and the G board

Guards rankings (2025-26 results)2025-26 full rankings 2026-27 draft projections Nesmith player props

QIs Aaron Nesmith a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #156 overall, #76 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Aaron Nesmith be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 139.8 (roughly round 14 in a 10-team league). We rank him #162, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Aaron Nesmith score in 2026-27?

We project 23.6 points per game across an expected 56 games — approximately 1322 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 17.1 and 29.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #162 in projected scoring.

QHow does Aaron Nesmith rank in category leagues?

Based on 2025-26 production, Aaron Nesmith finished #191 in 9-cat and #185 in 8-cat leagues by per-game z-score value, versus #156 in points formats.

QHow consistent is Aaron Nesmith for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 71% of games, with a floor of 12.4 and a ceiling of 37.2 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 24% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.

Answers computed by HoopSplit from official box scores.